Trend Analysis of Internal Migration in Serbia

The aim of this paper is to investigate the characteristics of internal migration trends in the Republic of Serbia by employing various statistical methodologies to analyse patterns at national and district levels. The main objectives are to examine the temporal aspects of overall migration intensity, spatial patterns, and the relationships between internal migration and selected demographic and socio-economic development factors. The results indicate a stagnant trend, with no statistical significance, in the dynamics of internal migration in Serbia from 2002 to 2023, as well as contrasting patterns between total population dynamics and internal migration. The study highlights differences in net internal migration, in-migration, and out-migration trends in districts, establishing that population size and GDP per capita are the most significant factors determining the character of internal migration trends at the district level. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the contemporary internal migration process in Serbia.