Medicine

Nayuta Higa, T. Akahane, Seiya Yokoyama, Hajime Yonezawa, Ryutaro Makino, H. Uchida, Tomoko Takajo, M. Kirishima, R. Otsuji, Yutaka Fujioka, R. Hatae, Daisuke Kuga, Shohei Nagasaka, Kohei Suzuki, Junkoh Yamamoto, Koji Yoshimoto, Akihide Tanimoto, R. Hanaya

2026.2.14JOURNAL OF NEUROPATHOLOGY AND EXPERIMENTAL NEUROLOGY

DOI: 10.1093/jnen/nlaf154

tlooto Summary

This study validates the prognostic value of the WHO 2021 classification for IDH-mutant astrocytomas and demonstrates that MET and PDGFRA alterations are independent adverse prognostic factors, comparable to CDKN2A/B HD.

Abstract

CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion (HD) defines isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH)-mutant astrocytomas as World Health Organization (WHO) grade 4 and predicts aggressive tumor behavior. To identify clinical and molecular prognostic factors in these tumors, we conducted a retrospective multi-institutional study of 106 adult patients diagnosed with IDH-mutant astrocytomas (21 grade 2, 40 grade 3 and 45 grade 4). Tumors were classified using a custom DNA/RNA next-generation sequencing panel based on the 2021 WHO classification. This resulted in an upgrade to grade 4 in 10.3% of cases previously classified as grade II or III due to CDKN2A/B HD. Multivariate analysis identified CDKN2A/B HD (hazard ratio [HR], 1.76; P = .005), MET fusions/splicing variants (HR, 5.38; P = .002), and PDGFRA alterations (HR, 3.66; P = .009) as independent predictors for poor overall survival. The accumulation of these 3 genetic events was strongly associated with unfavorable survival (P < .001) and correlated with adverse clinical features, including lower Karnofsky Performance Status and higher Ki-67 indices. Our study validates the prognostic value of the WHO 2021 classification for IDH-mutant astrocytomas and demonstrates that MET and PDGFRA alterations are independent adverse prognostic factors, comparable to CDKN2A/B HD. Their cumulative burden enables refined molecular risk stratification to guide clinical management.

Citation format

HIGA, Nayuta, et al. Molecular and clinical prognostic factors in isocitrate dehydrogenase-mutant astrocytomas: Insights into biomarker-driven stratification. JOURNAL OF NEUROPATHOLOGY AND EXPERIMENTAL NEUROLOGY, 2026, 85(5): 455–463.