Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology ModelsFractional Differential Equations SolutionsCOVID-19 epidemiological studies

Ibad Ullah, Mukhtiar Khan, Nadeem Khan, A. Aloqaily, I. Ahmad, M. A. Alghafli, N. Mlaiki

2026.2.13FRACTALS-COMPLEX GEOMETRY PATTERNS AND SCALING IN NATURE AND SOCIETY

DOI: 10.1142/s0218348x26400487

tlooto Summary

The proposed model reveals the presence of a single endemic equilibrium, which is asymptotically stable when [Formula: see text], and a disease-free equilibrium that exists for all values of [Formula] and is stable when [Formula: see text].

Abstract

This study presents a fractional-order susceptible-exposed-infected-quarantine-recovered [Formula: see text] epidem ic model to investigate the dynamics of infectious diseases under the influence of treatment strategies. The proposed model is analyzed to ensure the existence and uniqueness of non-negative and bounded solutions. We used the next-generation matrix approach to directly determine the fundamental reproduction number, [Formula: see text]. The model reveals the presence of a single endemic equilibrium, which is asymptotically stable when [Formula: see text], and a disease-free equilibrium that exists for all values of [Formula: see text] and is stable when [Formula: see text]. The theoretical results are substantiated by numerical simulations. To determine which parameters have the greatest effect on disease dynamics, we performed a global sensitivity analysis. Numerical simulations are implemented in MATLAB ([Formula: see text]2019[Formula: see text]), and the outcomes are visualized graphically to show the modelโ€™s behavior under varying parameter scenarios.

Citation format

ULLAH, Ibad, et al. Stability analysis of an ๐’ฎโ„ฐโ„๐’ฌโ„› epidemic model with saturated incidence rate using fractal-fractional order techniques. FRACTALS-COMPLEX GEOMETRY PATTERNS AND SCALING IN NATURE AND SOCIETY, 2026, 34(06).