MedicineEnvironmental ScienceMathematics

Cécile Viboud, Lone Simonsen, Gerardo Chowell

2015.12.4Epidemics

DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.01.002

tlooto सारांश

A 2-parameter generalized-growth model is introduced to characterize the ascending phase of an outbreak and capture epidemic profiles ranging from sub-exponential to exponential growth, revealing significant variation in epidemic growth patterns across different infectious disease outbreaks.

सारांश

Highlights • We introduce a generalized-growth model to characterize epidemic growth.• The generalized-growth model capture sub-exponential and exponential epidemic growth.• We uncovered epidemic profiles from data ranging from very slow growth to near exponential growth.• Our findings reveal significant variation in epidemic growth patterns across outbreaks.• Findings indicate that sub-exponential growth dynamics is a common phenomenon.

साइटेशन फॉर्मेट

VIBOUD, Cécile; SIMONSEN, Lone; CHOWELL, Gerardo. A generalized-growth model to characterize the early ascending phase of infectious disease outbreaks [preprint]. arXiv, 2015. arXiv:1512.01389.